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2024-12-14 00:15:14

CITIC Securities: The interest rate of the 10-year US bond may show an upward trend due to factors such as monetary policy next year. According to the CITIC Securities Research Report, historically, the actual short-term interest rate expectation in the interest rate reduction cycle since 1983 is usually the main driving force for the downward trend of the 10-year US bond interest rate, while the term premium may rise in the interest rate reduction cycle due to factors such as supply and demand, deficit concerns and external shocks. Looking forward to the future, it is expected that the short-term 4.0% will be the support level of the 10-year US bond interest rate, and the 10-year US bond interest rate may show an upward trend next year due to factors such as monetary policy and "Trump transaction".Digging deep into the multiplier effect, we will launch a new round of coupons. Beijing will issue no less than 30,000 coupons for ice and snow, Changzhou, Jiangsu will issue 1 million yuan coupons for "Su Xin Consumption Celebrating New Year's Day" in 2024, and Xi 'an will launch a new round of coupons ... With the arrival of the peak consumption season at the end of the year, we will launch a new round of coupons distribution activities in many places and increase support for catering, cultural tourism and other consumption fields. The reporter found that the new round of coupons is characterized by multi-domain, rolling and multi-denomination distribution, covering catering, accommodation, sports and other fields. At the same time, rolling distribution of coupons can effectively cover important consumption nodes such as New Year's Day and Spring Festival, and multi-denomination coupons will also meet the diverse needs of different consumers. "The issuance of coupons can produce a multiplier effect and drive a wider range of economic activities. As a short-term stimulus measure, coupons will quickly boost consumer confidence, activate market demand, and at the same time drive the recovery and development of related industries. In particular, the accurate delivery of consumer vouchers in different fields and batches will help guide the consumption direction and optimize the consumption structure. " Zeng Fue, a professor at economics and management school of wuhan university, said. (Economic Information Daily)South Korean President Yin Xiyue: I will face impeachment, investigation or any possible situation; My martial law attempt cannot constitute rebellion. Martial law is the president's decision to protect the country's freedom, democracy and constitutional order from the dictatorship of the opposition parliament.


CITIC Securities: The interest rate of the 10-year US bond may show an upward trend due to factors such as monetary policy next year. According to the CITIC Securities Research Report, historically, the actual short-term interest rate expectation in the interest rate reduction cycle since 1983 is usually the main driving force for the downward trend of the 10-year US bond interest rate, while the term premium may rise in the interest rate reduction cycle due to factors such as supply and demand, deficit concerns and external shocks. Looking forward to the future, it is expected that the short-term 4.0% will be the support level of the 10-year US bond interest rate, and the 10-year US bond interest rate may show an upward trend next year due to factors such as monetary policy and "Trump transaction".Russia says it controls two settlements in Kursk, and the Ukrainian army says it will continue to hold its ground. On the 11th, local time, the Russian Defense Ministry reported that in the past day, Russian troops had taken control of Darinot and Plekhovo settlements in Kursk region. The circular also stated that the Ukrainian armed forces used six US-made Army tactical missiles on the same day to launch an attack on a military airport in Rostov, southern Russia. The falling of missile fragments caused personal injury, but no other serious losses were caused. Russia will respond to this attack. On the same day, the General Staff of the Ukrainian Armed Forces issued a battle report, saying that there were 140 battles in the frontline area that day, and the Ukrainian army continued to hold its ground and fully blocked the Russian army. Among them, the fighting in Pokrovsk and Kulahovo is the fiercest, and fighting continues in some areas. In addition, Sumeizhou and Chernigov continue to be attacked by Russian air. In the Kursk region, the Ukrainian army repelled 15 Russian attacks.The Chinese Consulate General in Los Angeles reminded citizens in China to take precautions against mountain fires. Recently, a sudden mountain fire disaster occurred in Malibu, California, USA, causing evacuation and some property losses. The Consulate General in Los Angeles would like to remind China citizens in the consular district to pay attention to the dynamics of mountain fires in a timely manner, make reasonable arrangements for travel, and avoid going to relevant areas; Comply with the local government's disaster avoidance and evacuation guidelines; Scientific protection to reduce the impact of mountain fire smoke on health.


South Korean President Yin Xiyue: The large opposition party has become a monster that undermines order; The opposition is threatening national security and social security.The restricted shares with a market value of 2.546 billion yuan were lifted today. Yongda, Sitaili and Dameng Data were among the top companies in terms of market value. On Thursday (December 12), the restricted shares of 8 companies were lifted, with a total lifting amount of 175 million shares. According to the latest closing price, the total lifting market value was 2.546 billion yuan. Judging from the amount of lifting the ban, the number of shares lifted by the two companies exceeded 10 million. Si Taili, Yongda and Ningxin New Materials were among the top, with 95,895,400 shares, 65,203,300 shares and 6,633,200 shares respectively. Judging from the market value of lifting the ban, the number of shares lifted by the two companies exceeded 100 million yuan. Yongda Co., Ltd., Sitaili and Dameng Data are among the top companies in terms of market value, with market values of 1.039 billion yuan, 992 million yuan and 349 million yuan respectively. Judging from the proportion of shares released from the ban to the total share capital, the proportion of the two companies released from the ban exceeded 10%. Yongda Co., Ltd., Sitaili Co., Ltd. and Ningxincai Co., Ltd. have the highest proportion of lifting the ban, accounting for 27.17%, 21.87% and 7.13% respectively.CICC: Inflation in the United States may push the "hawks to cut interest rates". The CICC research report said that inflation data opened the door for the Fed to cut interest rates next week, but we also predicted that the "hawks to cut interest rates" will be staged next week, and the Fed may cut the guidance on interest rate cuts in the bitmap. We predict that the new bitmap will show that the total interest rate will be cut twice in 2025 (compared with four times before), and the federal funds rate will be lowered to a neutral level of 3.75% to 4% by the end of the second quarter of next year.

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